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Saturday, February 28, 2026

The SpaceX-xAI mega-merger is a gap gambit to a much bigger play


The deal creates the first-ever $1.25 trillion non-public firm, marking a brand new chapter in AI compute race

Confirming earlier stories, SpaceX simply acquired Elon Musk-owned startup, xAI, that you could be know because the maker of the Grok chatbot, in an all-stock deal. 

Though monetary particulars are undisclosed, in keeping with a number of sources, the mixed firm is valued at a whopping $1.25 trillion (SpaceX at $1 trillion and xAI at $250 billion) — making it the world’s most useful non-public firm.

What’s driving the mega-merger? 

In a missive on Tuesday, Musk mentioned that the acquisition creates “essentially the most formidable, vertically-integrated innovation engine on (and off) Earth” that marks not solely a brand new chapter for the 2 corporations concerned, however a brand new period of space-based AI for mankind. 

“Present advances in AI are depending on giant terrestrial information facilities, which require immense quantities of energy and cooling. International electrical energy demand for AI merely can’t be met with terrestrial options, even within the close to time period, with out imposing hardship on communities and the surroundings,” he mentioned.

To make sense of what the deal accomplishes, one wants to have a look at what the 2 corporations individually deliver to supply and why combining their portfolios make sense. Musk’s SpaceX is an aerospace firm — the most important on this planet — that additionally owns Starlink — the world’s largest satellite tv for pc web supplier. 

xAI, in contrast, is a a lot smaller initiative, and is understood for the social media platform X (a rebrand of Twitter which Musk acquired in 2022) and the aforementioned Grok chatbot which has not too long ago come beneath hearth for producing sexualized photos of girls. 

In a current submitting to FCC, SpaceX sought approval to construct a “house cloud” that can represent as much as one million satellites — an Orbital Information Middle system, if you’ll — that can help the world’s heaviest AI workloads with solar energy and house cooling. 

All SpaceX’s present packages, together with Falcon, Dragon, Starlink, and the brand new Starship that reinforces 20x the capability of Falcon, have the technological muscle to place this concept in movement.

So, if SpaceX is to show right into a full-blown AI information heart firm for which it has all of the satellite tv for pc know-how and rocket launch capabilities, it solely is smart to deliver its AI subsidiary into the fold for the AI firepower. 

The enterprise angle

Traders are speculating whether or not the deal might complicate SpaceX’s upcoming IPO. Inside sources informed the New York Instances with the merger signed forward of the IPO, Musk will possible take the mixed firm public — supposedly round June, with a goal to boost $50 billion. 

Some say that merging the 2 companies makes it a simple promote to traders because it leaves Musk totally targeted on one enterprise versus two. Others argue that it complicates the story due to the valuation mismatch. Ergo, bringing the extremely worthwhile SpaceX and the cash-burning xAI beneath one roof is simply dangerous enterprise.

Swapnil Amin, Ex-Tesla director, says that the transfer is meant to be a monetary rescue. In a LinkedIn article, he writes, “Each headline says “Musk consolidates energy.” That’s the unsuitable story. Right here’s the actual one: xAI burns $1B/month. It may’t IPO alone — not when OpenAI is elevating $100B at $830B with 10x the income. So Musk did what he all the time does. He restructured the capital stack.”

With that, Musk can freely pour SpaceX’s capital into the laboring AI enterprise and provides it the increase of life it wants. 

Some considerations

Individually, one other camp is decrying Musk’s ambition to launch floating supercomputers in house. “The Singularity’s path to disassembling the Photo voltaic System for compute has discovered a company house,” writes investor Alex Wissner-Gross on LinkedIn.

Additional, it looks like the undertaking has some entry obstacles to cross. Whereas the house presents
an infinite provide of photo voltaic power and nil land footprint, it brings some steep challenges as nicely. The normal air- and liquid-cooling methods utilized in terrestrial information facilities (sure, that’s a time period now!) are redundant in house. That leaves radiation as the one choice to dissipate the waste warmth from servers.

To chill an orbital information heart with radiators, it can take a cooling deck the scale of a tennis court docket, to say nothing of the trapped warmth contained in the server which would require its personal inner liquid-cooling methods internally. 

No matter what engineering marvels which will result in, for now everyone appears to be on the identical web page about one factor: the AI race is about to warmth up actual quick, actual quickly.

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