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Tuesday, April 7, 2026

Analysts weigh in on potential Amazon-Globalstar deal


Amazon and SpaceX are each eyeing Globalstar. Right here’s why

Amazon is reportedly in talks with Globalstar — the corporate behind Apple’s emergency direct-to-device service — for a $9 billion acquisition, which, till lately, rumors had been, that SpaceX was weighing. Seems issues transfer quick within the satellite tv for pc trade.  

On the SATShow 2026 in Washington final week, the rumors began to floor, and this morning, a number of publishing homes, together with the Monetary Occasions, The Reuters, and CNBC, broke the information that Amazon too is now within the recreation. Individuals aware of the matter have confirmed that each corporations are in negotiation with Globalstar, the FT reported.

Globalstar inventory jumped up 15% in prolonged buying and selling after the story broke. 

With on-line chatter selecting up, we requested trade analysts what’s their tackle the continuing bidding warfare round Globalstar However earlier than that, right here’s what we all know to date.

Speculations had been constructing for a while that SpaceX was evaluating a bid for Globalstar. Globalstar holds a pivotal place within the direct-to-device (D2D) market by means of its unique partnership with Apple, and with Starlink’s current introduction of Starlink Cell, which marks a brand new section in its D2D technique, and the intensifying competitors within the Low Earth orbit (LEO) connectivity, SpaceX’s curiosity appeared logical. 

Had SpaceX gained the bid, it might have given it a extra direct relationship with Apple, and privileged entry to the iPhone ecosystem for its rising Starlink Cell service, leveraging spectrum belongings acquired from EchoStar final yr, mentioned Luke Pearce of CCS Insights. 

For Amazon, there appears to be three most important (overlapping) incentives: spectrum entry, operational benefit, and sooner regulatory clearance. The acquisition would give Amazon management of an organization that permits Apple’s satellite tv for pc service, which in accordance with CCS Perception information is on the market on 384 million Apple units.

However there’s extra. Globalstar owns a portion of its personal S-band cell satellite tv for pc service (MSS) spectrum, generally known as band n53, which can be licensed for 5G. MSS spectrum has turn out to be more and more priceless, as it’s globally harmonised, authorized by regulators, and doesn’t intrude with terrestrial networks permitting extra succesful D2D companies. 

“An acquisition might enable Amazon, by way of its Amazon Leo constellation, a significant shortcut into the satellite tv for pc direct-to-device market, offering it with the mandatory constructing blocks to enrich its ambitions to rival SpaceX Starlink and signalling a extra assertive push past mounted broadband into direct-to-device connectivity,” Pearce mentioned. 

Roger Enter of Recon Analytics agrees. He mentioned that the acquisition would assist Amazon to get spectrum, however extra importantly, it’s going to create “a working relationship” with Apple.

Amazon, he mentioned, will even profit from accessing Globalstar’s buyer base that it’s presently working with. “It could give Amazon a second leg to face on, and Globalstar, a sleek exit,” he mentioned.

Globalstar’s service right now is primarily targeted on emergency messaging, with restricted two-way iMessage assist in North America, offering primary connectivity in areas with out terrestrial protection. The corporate is presently working with Canadian producer, MDA House, to construct extra satellites. Amazon’s acquisition will give it the monetary backing it must broaden the capability of capabilities of its constellation, Pearce mentioned.

LEO evangelist, Tim Belfall, wrote on LinkedIn: “If the Globalstar acquisition is authorized, I’d not be shocked if Amazon then focused AST SpaceMobile. Essentially the most pressing downside for Amazon Leo is to get their satellites into orbit shortly, and the one manner they will obtain that’s by throwing SpaceX some huge cash for the subsequent two years, one thing which they are going to discover very distasteful.”

“This isn’t simply an growth; it’s a $9B regulatory insurance coverage coverage,” echoed Mohit Mohan, advisor working within the 5G, NTN, and satellite tv for pc area. “Present deployment progress suggests Amazon could face challenges in assembly its FCC milestones for July 2026. Buying Globalstar would offer speedy entry to L-band/S-band spectrum [3GPP n255/n256] and an operational constellation.”

With a fully-operational community and licensed spectrum, Amazon Leo could make its service obtainable earlier as satellite tv for pc deployment continues. “In essence, Amazon is buying and selling capital for time, spectrum, and deployment certainty,” Mohan mentioned. 

Apple’s involvement with Globalstar complicates the deal. The corporate’s funding in Globalstar over the previous few years exceeds $2 billion — on prime of which it owns a 20% fairness stake in it. Moreover, Apple reserves 85% of Globalstar’s community capability for the iPhone. The rest, Globalstar makes use of for its different enterprise traces, which embrace industrial IoT and authorities companies. 

“This introduces a trilateral negotiation dynamic,” Mohan mentioned. Whereas switch of spectrum possession will want regulatory clearance from the FCC, Mohan mentioned, Amazon should negotiate instantly with Apple to resolve the operational dependency and possession stake.

Nevertheless, there are some open questions at this level. Apart from the plain execution dangers, there are regulatory hurdles which might delay spectrum possession switch, in addition to complexity round aligning MSS spectrum with broadband LEO structure which Amazon might want to look into, as Mohan identified. 

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