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Monday, February 24, 2025

Greatest Doesn’t Win – O’Reilly


January has been notable for the variety of necessary bulletins in AI. For me, two stand out: the US authorities’s assist for the Stargate Venture, a large information heart costing $500 billion, with investments coming from Oracle, Softbank, and OpenAI; and DeepSeek’s launch of its R1 reasoning mannequin, educated at an estimated price of roughly $5 million—a big quantity however a fraction of what it price OpenAI to coach its o1 fashions.

US tradition has lengthy assumed that greater is best, and that costlier is best. That’s actually a part of what’s behind the most costly information heart ever conceived. However we’ve to ask a really completely different query. If DeepSeek was certainly educated for roughly a tenth of what it price to coach o1, and if inference (producing solutions) on DeepSeek prices roughly one-thirtieth what it prices on o1 ($2.19 per million output tokens versus $60 per million output tokens), is the US expertise sector headed in the appropriate course?


Study quicker. Dig deeper. See farther.

It clearly isn’t. Our “greater is best” mentality is failing us. 

I’ve lengthy believed that the important thing to AI’s success can be minimizing the price of coaching and inference. I don’t consider there’s actually a race between the US and Chinese language AI communities. But when we settle for that metaphor, the US—and OpenAI particularly—is clearly behind. And a half-trillion-dollar information heart is a part of the issue, not the answer. Higher engineering beats “supersize it.” Technologists within the US must study that lesson.

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